Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Danilo Martelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.43) 3.52 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.4% 11.0% 66.0%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.8%
1 - 4
6.9%
1 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 0.9% 3.2% 5.6% 6.6% 5.8% 4.1%
1 1.1% 3.8% 6.7% 7.8% 6.9% 4.8%
2 0.6% 2.2% 3.9% 4.6% 4.1% 2.9%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMantovaSudtirol
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack18%41%
Defense35%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mantova Sudtirol
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%50%0%29%
Draws0%25%14%0%100%43%
Loses67%75%71%50%0%29%

Form: Mantova: LWLLLLD • Sudtirol: DWLDWDL

League goals

Metric Mantova Sudtirol
HATHAT
GF total4157411
GF avg1.30.30.71.81.31.6
GA total94136410
GA avg3.01.01.91.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMantovaSudtirol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%86%100%
1.514%43%43%43%
2.50%29%29%0%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMantovaSudtirol
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score033101

Penalties

MetricMantovaSudtirol
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMantovaSudtirol
Wins11
Draws01
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-1
Biggest losses1-52-10-2
Goals For2132
Goals Against5222

Model comparison

MetricMantovaSudtirol
Form17%83%
Att30%70%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Winner : Sudtirol

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.42 @ Marathonbet
Away2.86 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mantova = 1.19 (league 1.43), Sudtirol = 3.52 (league 1.11)

Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 0.9% 3.2% 5.6% 6.6% 5.8% 4.1%
1 1.1% 3.8% 6.7% 7.8% 6.9% 4.8%
2 0.6% 2.2% 3.9% 4.6% 4.1% 2.9%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.4% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 66.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1