Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Renzo Barbera
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.43) 0.46 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.5% 56.2% 31.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
51.2%
0 - 1
23.5%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 51.2% 23.5% 5.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.8% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalermoModena
Played55
Form73%87%
Attack41%59%
Defense88%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palermo Modena
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%67%57%75%67%71%
Draws50%33%43%25%33%29%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Palermo: WDWWDDW • Modena: WDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Palermo Modena
HATHAT
GF total4598513
GF avg1.01.71.32.01.71.9
GA total123213
GA avg0.30.70.40.50.30.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalermoModena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%43%86%43%
1.557%0%71%0%
2.50%0%29%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalermoModena
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricPalermoModena
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricPalermoModena
Wins23
Draws21
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-01-3
Biggest losses
Goals For2233
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricPalermoModena
Form46%54%
Att41%59%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%63%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total56.5%43.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Palermo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away4.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Palermo = 0.21 (league 1.43), Modena = 0.46 (league 1.11)

Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 51.2% 23.5% 5.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.8% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 56.2% · Away win 31.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1