Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Alberto Braglia
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.79 (league 1.43) 0.45 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.9% 5.2% 1.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.1%
4 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.4% 5.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.4% 4.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricModenaEmpoli
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack80%60%
Defense70%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Modena Empoli
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins75%50%63%20%33%25%
Draws25%50%38%80%0%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%67%25%

Form: Modena: WDWWWDWD • Empoli: WLDLDDWD

League goals

Metric Modena Empoli
HATHAT
GF total86148311
GF avg2.01.51.81.61.01.4
GA total2246814
GA avg0.50.50.51.22.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineModenaEmpoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%88%100%
1.563%0%38%38%
2.525%0%13%25%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricModenaEmpoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricModenaEmpoli
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricModenaEmpoli
Wins31
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-11-2
Biggest losses4-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against1124

Model comparison

MetricModenaEmpoli
Form65%35%
Att57%43%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total67.2%32.8%

Advice: Winner : Modena

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ Dafabet
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away5.00 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Betano
Under 2.51.76 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Modena = 3.79 (league 1.43), Empoli = 0.45 (league 1.11)

Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.4% 5.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.4% 4.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.9% · Draw 5.2% · Away win 1.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1