Serie B — Italy
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Druso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.43) 2.78 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.3% 17.4% 53.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.3%
1 - 3
6.7%
2 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sudtirol 0 1.1% 3.0% 4.1% 3.8% 2.7% 1.5%
1 1.9% 5.2% 7.3% 6.7% 4.7% 2.6%
2 1.6% 4.6% 6.4% 5.9% 4.1% 2.3%
3 1.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.5% 2.4% 1.3%
4 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSudtirolCesena
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack73%64%
Defense36%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sudtirol Cesena
HATHAT
Played448358
Wins50%0%25%0%80%50%
Draws0%100%50%67%0%25%
Loses50%0%25%33%20%25%

Form: Sudtirol: DWLDWDLD • Cesena: WDWWDLLW

League goals

Metric Sudtirol Cesena
HATHAT
GF total751231013
GF avg1.81.31.51.02.01.6
GA total65114711
GA avg1.51.31.41.31.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSudtirolCesena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%100%100%100%
1.538%38%50%25%
2.525%0%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSudtirolCesena
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricSudtirolCesena
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSudtirolCesena
Wins12
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1——1-3
Biggest losses0-2—1-23-1
Goals For3213
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricSudtirolCesena
Form46%54%
Att53%47%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cesena

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Dafabet
Away2.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sudtirol = 1.76 (league 1.43), Cesena = 2.78 (league 1.08)

Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sudtirol 0 1.1% 3.0% 4.1% 3.8% 2.7% 1.5%
1 1.9% 5.2% 7.3% 6.7% 4.7% 2.6%
2 1.6% 4.6% 6.4% 5.9% 4.1% 2.3%
3 1.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.5% 2.4% 1.3%
4 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.3% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 53.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1