Serie B — Italy
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.44) 1.78 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.7% 23.1% 57.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 1
11.0%
0 - 2
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Frosinone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sampdoria 0 6.8% 12.2% 10.8% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0%
1 6.1% 11.0% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.8% 4.9% 4.4% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSampdoriaFrosinone
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack55%91%
Defense45%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sampdoria Frosinone
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%50%50%50%
Draws25%25%25%25%25%25%
Loses50%75%63%25%25%25%

Form: Sampdoria: LLLLDDWL • Frosinone: WDWDWWLL

League goals

Metric Sampdoria Frosinone
HATHAT
GF total5387613
GF avg1.30.81.01.81.51.6
GA total5813448
GA avg1.32.01.61.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSampdoriaFrosinone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%63%63%
1.513%50%50%25%
2.513%25%25%13%
3.513%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSampdoriaFrosinone
HATHAT
Clean sheets101123
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricSampdoriaFrosinone
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSampdoriaFrosinone
Wins12
Draws21
Losses40

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—3-11-5
Biggest losses0-23-10-13-0
Goals For4135
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricSampdoriaFrosinone
Form42%58%
Att38%63%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total46.8%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Frosinone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Dafabet
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away3.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sampdoria = 0.90 (league 1.44), Frosinone = 1.78 (league 1.09)

Frosinone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sampdoria 0 6.8% 12.2% 10.8% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0%
1 6.1% 11.0% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.8% 4.9% 4.4% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.7% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 57.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1