Serie B — Italy
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.43) 0.19 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.8% 31.3% 5.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
30.0%
0 - 0
25.3%
2 - 0
17.8%
Score & goals probability table
Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 25.3% 4.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.0% 5.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAvellinoSpezia
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack73%36%
Defense36%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Avellino Spezia
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins67%20%38%0%0%0%
Draws33%40%38%20%67%38%
Loses0%40%25%80%33%63%

Form: Avellino: LDWWWDDL • Spezia: LDDLLDLL

League goals

Metric Avellino Spezia
HATHAT
GF total4711325
GF avg1.31.41.40.60.70.6
GA total110119413
GA avg0.32.01.41.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAvellinoSpezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%63%88%
1.550%50%0%63%
2.513%13%0%13%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAvellinoSpezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricAvellinoSpezia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAvellinoSpezia
Wins30
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-4——
Biggest losses—2-01-32-0
Goals For2411
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricAvellinoSpezia
Form89%11%
Att67%33%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : Avellino or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Dafabet
Away2.72 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Avellino = 1.19 (league 1.43), Spezia = 0.19 (league 1.12)

Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 25.3% 4.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.0% 5.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.8% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 5.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1