Serie B — Italy
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Carlo Castellani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.44) 0.89 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.9% 18.8% 13.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
1 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 4.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.9% 8.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.1% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmpoliSampdoria
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack54%54%
Defense46%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Empoli Sampdoria
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins20%25%22%20%0%11%
Draws80%0%44%40%25%33%
Loses0%75%33%40%75%56%

Form: Empoli: WLDLDDWDL • Sampdoria: LLLLDDWLD

League goals

Metric Empoli Sampdoria
HATHAT
GF total8412639
GF avg1.61.01.31.20.81.0
GA total610166814
GA avg1.22.51.81.22.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmpoliSampdoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%100%67%89%
1.533%44%11%44%
2.511%22%11%22%
3.50%11%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmpoliSampdoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricEmpoliSampdoria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricEmpoliSampdoria
Wins11
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-1—
Biggest losses—4-00-23-1
Goals For3241
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricEmpoliSampdoria
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h29%71%
Goals20%80%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sampdoria

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Betano
Under 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Empoli = 2.21 (league 1.44), Sampdoria = 0.89 (league 1.08)

Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 4.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.9% 8.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.1% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.9% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 13.7%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1