Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:30 •
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.43)
0.87 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.9% | 18.4% | 13.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.2%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Sampdoria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Empoli | 0 | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Empoli | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 60% | 60% |
| Defense | 10% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Empoli | Sampdoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 20% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 80% | 0% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 25% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
Form: Empoli: WLDLDDWD • Sampdoria: LLLLDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Empoli | Sampdoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Empoli | Sampdoria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 100% | 63% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 38% | 13% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 25% | 13% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Empoli | Sampdoria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Empoli | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Empoli | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Empoli | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sampdoria
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Empoli = 2.24 (league 1.43), Sampdoria = 0.87 (league 1.11)
| Sampdoria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Empoli | 0 | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.9% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 13.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1