Serie B — Italy
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Renzo Barbera
Match Finished
0 - 3
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.44) 0.37 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 44.0% 17.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
34.6%
1 - 0
24.0%
0 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Monza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 34.6% 12.7% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 8.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.3% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalermoMonza
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack31%54%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palermo Monza
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%50%44%80%25%56%
Draws60%25%44%0%50%22%
Loses0%25%11%20%25%22%

Form: Palermo: WDWWDDWDL • Monza: WDLWLDWWW

League goals

Metric Palermo Monza
HATHAT
GF total55107411
GF avg1.01.31.11.41.01.2
GA total235347
GA avg0.40.80.60.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalermoMonza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%89%67%
1.544%0%22%11%
2.50%0%11%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalermoMonza
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricPalermoMonza
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPalermoMonza
Wins21
Draws21
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-10-1
Biggest losses—1-00-12-1
Goals For2231
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricPalermoMonza
Form38%63%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total47.5%52.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Palermo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Palermo = 0.69 (league 1.44), Monza = 0.37 (league 1.09)

Monza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 34.6% 12.7% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 8.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.3% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 44.0% · Away win 17.2%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1