Serie B — Italy
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Alberto Picco
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.43) 1.34 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.5% 28.3% 59.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.1%
0 - 0
17.2%
0 - 2
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 17.2% 23.1% 15.5% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6%
1 7.2% 9.7% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpeziaPadova
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack54%54%
Defense46%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spezia Padova
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins0%25%11%25%40%33%
Draws20%50%33%50%20%33%
Loses80%25%56%25%40%33%

Form: Spezia: LDDLLDLLW • Padova: LDLWWDLWD

League goals

Metric Spezia Padova
HATHAT
GF total3696410
GF avg0.61.51.01.50.81.1
GA total94136511
GA avg1.81.01.41.51.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpeziaPadova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%78%67%
1.511%56%33%44%
2.511%11%0%11%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpeziaPadova
HATHAT
Clean sheets112033
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricSpeziaPadova
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSpeziaPadova
Wins02
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-42-10-1
Biggest losses1-32-00-13-1
Goals For1421
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricSpeziaPadova
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h50%50%
Goals63%38%
Total44.3%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Padova

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ Betano
Away4.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Betano
Under 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spezia = 0.42 (league 1.43), Padova = 1.34 (league 1.07)

Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 17.2% 23.1% 15.5% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6%
1 7.2% 9.7% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.5% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 59.9%

vtt 5 , vtd1