Serie B — Italy
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Danilo Martelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.44) 1.83 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.1% 22.6% 58.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
10.9%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Catanzaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 6.5% 11.9% 10.9% 6.6% 3.0% 1.1%
1 5.9% 10.7% 9.8% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.6% 4.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMantovaCatanzaro
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack23%31%
Defense31%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mantova Catanzaro
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%0%11%20%0%11%
Draws25%20%22%60%75%67%
Loses50%80%67%20%25%22%

Form: Mantova: LWLLLLDDL • Catanzaro: DDDDDDLLW

League goals

Metric Mantova Catanzaro
HATHAT
GF total516538
GF avg1.30.20.71.00.80.9
GA total10515549
GA avg2.51.01.71.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMantovaCatanzaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%67%67%
1.511%33%22%33%
2.50%22%0%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMantovaCatanzaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score044123

Penalties

MetricMantovaCatanzaro
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMantovaCatanzaro
Wins10
Draws26
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—1-0—
Biggest losses1-52-10-12-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against5222

Model comparison

MetricMantovaCatanzaro
Form29%71%
Att43%57%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Catanzaro

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mantova = 0.90 (league 1.44), Catanzaro = 1.83 (league 1.09)

Catanzaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 6.5% 11.9% 10.9% 6.6% 3.0% 1.1%
1 5.9% 10.7% 9.8% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.6% 4.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.1% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 58.1%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1