Serie B — Italy
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:30 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.45) 1.80 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.0% 22.6% 60.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
0 - 2
12.1%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 7.5% 13.5% 12.1% 7.3% 3.3% 1.2%
1 5.9% 10.7% 9.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.4% 4.2% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReggianaModena
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack62%54%
Defense31%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Reggiana Modena
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%20%33%80%50%67%
Draws50%20%33%20%50%33%
Loses0%60%33%0%0%0%

Form: Reggiana: LWDDLDWWL • Modena: WDWWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Reggiana Modena
HATHAT
GF total951410616
GF avg2.31.01.62.01.51.8
GA total5914325
GA avg1.31.81.60.60.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReggianaModena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%89%56%
1.544%44%67%0%
2.522%22%22%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReggianaModena
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricReggianaModena
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricReggianaModena
Wins23
Draws21
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-01-3
Biggest losses—3-1——
Goals For3233
Goals Against2311

Model comparison

MetricReggianaModena
Form39%61%
Att53%47%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Modena

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Betfair
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away2.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Reggiana = 0.79 (league 1.45), Modena = 1.80 (league 1.08)

Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 7.5% 13.5% 12.1% 7.3% 3.3% 1.2%
1 5.9% 10.7% 9.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.4% 4.2% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.0% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 60.3%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1