Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:30 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.42) 1.77 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.8% 23.1% 59.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
0 - 2
11.9%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 7.6% 13.4% 11.9% 7.0% 3.1% 1.1%
1 6.2% 10.9% 9.6% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 2.5% 4.4% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReggianaModena
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack90%80%
Defense20%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Reggiana Modena
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%75%50%63%
Draws50%25%38%25%50%38%
Loses0%50%25%0%0%0%

Form: Reggiana: LWDDLDWW • Modena: WDWWWDWD

League goals

Metric Reggiana Modena
HATHAT
GF total94138614
GF avg2.31.01.62.01.51.8
GA total5611224
GA avg1.31.51.40.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReggianaModena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%88%50%
1.550%38%63%0%
2.525%13%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReggianaModena
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricReggianaModena
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricReggianaModena
Wins13
Draws21
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-01-3
Biggest losses3-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against2311

Model comparison

MetricReggianaModena
Form42%58%
Att53%47%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Modena

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Betfair
Draw3.45 @ Fonbet
Away2.12 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Betano
Under 2.51.77 @ Fonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No1.92 @ Fonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Reggiana = 0.81 (league 1.42), Modena = 1.77 (league 1.10)

Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 7.6% 13.4% 11.9% 7.0% 3.1% 1.1%
1 6.2% 10.9% 9.6% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 2.5% 4.4% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.8% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 59.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1