Serie B — Italy
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Dino Manuzzi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.45) 2.16 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.4% 19.3% 64.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.0%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 4.7% 10.2% 11.0% 7.9% 4.3% 1.8%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.8% 7.1% 3.8% 1.7%
2 1.9% 4.1% 4.4% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCesenaCarrarese
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack46%77%
Defense46%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cesena Carrarese
HATHAT
Played369549
Wins0%83%56%40%25%33%
Draws67%0%22%40%75%56%
Loses33%17%22%20%0%11%

Form: Cesena: WDWWDLLWW • Carrarese: WDDLDDWDW

League goals

Metric Cesena Carrarese
HATHAT
GF total311149716
GF avg1.01.81.61.81.81.8
GA total47116511
GA avg1.31.21.21.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCesenaCarrarese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%89%78%56%
1.544%22%67%44%
2.511%11%33%11%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCesenaCarrarese
HATHAT
Clean sheets011314
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricCesenaCarrarese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCesenaCarrarese
Wins21
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-13-4—
Goals For1332
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricCesenaCarrarese
Form44%56%
Att38%63%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total42.5%57.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Carrarese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away4.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cesena = 0.90 (league 1.45), Carrarese = 2.16 (league 1.08)

Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 4.7% 10.2% 11.0% 7.9% 4.3% 1.8%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.8% 7.1% 3.8% 1.7%
2 1.9% 4.1% 4.4% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.4% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 64.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1