Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:30 •
Stadio Dino Manuzzi
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.43)
2.11 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.2% | 19.8% | 62.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.8%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Carrarese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cesena | 0 | 4.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cesena | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 70% | 100% |
| Defense | 20% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cesena | Carrarese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 80% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
| Loses | 33% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
Form: Cesena: WDWWDLLW • Carrarese: WDDLDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Cesena | Carrarese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cesena | Carrarese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 63% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 25% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cesena | Carrarese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cesena | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cesena | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 3-4 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cesena | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 45.2% | 54.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Carrarese
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cesena = 0.91 (league 1.43), Carrarese = 2.11 (league 1.11)
| Carrarese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cesena | 0 | 4.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.2% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 62.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1