Serie B — Italy
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 11:30 • Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.44) 1.19 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.6% 27.4% 34.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
10.9%
0 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Reggiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 8.7% 10.4% 6.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.0% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.8% 8.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAvellinoReggiana
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack19%50%
Defense44%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Avellino Reggiana
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins50%17%30%60%20%40%
Draws25%50%40%40%20%30%
Loses25%33%30%0%60%30%

Form: Avellino: LDWWWDDLLD • Reggiana: LWDDLDWWLW

League goals

Metric Avellino Reggiana
HATHAT
GF total481210515
GF avg1.01.31.22.01.01.5
GA total511165914
GA avg1.31.81.61.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAvellinoReggiana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%90%80%
1.540%50%40%40%
2.510%20%20%20%
3.510%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAvellinoReggiana
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricAvellinoReggiana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAvellinoReggiana
Wins32
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-43-11-2
Biggest losses0-42-0—3-1
Goals For2432
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricAvellinoReggiana
Form23%77%
Att27%73%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total32.7%67.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Reggiana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ 10Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away4.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Avellino = 1.25 (league 1.44), Reggiana = 1.19 (league 1.09)

Reggiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 8.7% 10.4% 6.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.0% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.8% 8.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.6% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 34.7%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1