Serie B — Italy
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio San Nicola
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.44) 1.32 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.5% 27.4% 41.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 9.0% 11.9% 7.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.8% 12.9% 8.5% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.3% 7.0% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBariCesena
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack41%41%
Defense59%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bari Cesena
HATHAT
Played4594610
Wins50%0%22%25%83%60%
Draws50%20%33%50%0%20%
Loses0%80%44%25%17%20%

Form: Bari: LDLLDDWLW • Cesena: WDWWDLLWWW

League goals

Metric Bari Cesena
HATHAT
GF total54951116
GF avg1.30.81.01.31.81.6
GA total312155712
GA avg0.82.41.71.31.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBariCesena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%89%100%90%
1.522%56%50%20%
2.50%22%10%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBariCesena
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricBariCesena
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBariCesena
Wins12
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-11-3
Biggest losses—3-01-23-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricBariCesena
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h75%25%
Goals70%30%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bari or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bari = 1.08 (league 1.44), Cesena = 1.32 (league 1.09)

Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 9.0% 11.9% 7.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.8% 12.9% 8.5% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.3% 7.0% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 41.8%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1