Serie B — Italy
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:15 • Brianteo
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.44) 0.83 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.6% 32.8% 29.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.5%
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 16.5% 13.7% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.8% 6.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonzaSpezia
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack59%47%
Defense82%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monza Spezia
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins80%40%60%0%25%10%
Draws0%40%20%33%50%40%
Loses20%20%20%67%25%50%

Form: Monza: WDLWLDWWWW • Spezia: LDDLLDLLWD

League goals

Metric Monza Spezia
HATHAT
GF total77144610
GF avg1.41.41.40.71.51.0
GA total34710414
GA avg0.60.80.71.71.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonzaSpezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%70%80%
1.530%10%10%50%
2.520%0%10%10%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonzaSpezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score101213

Penalties

MetricMonzaSpezia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMonzaSpezia
Wins11
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-3—0-4
Biggest losses0-12-11-32-0
Goals For3314
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricMonzaSpezia
Form72%28%
Att56%44%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total62.3%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Monza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away4.65 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monza = 0.97 (league 1.44), Spezia = 0.83 (league 1.09)

Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 16.5% 13.7% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.8% 6.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.6% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 29.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1