Serie B — Italy
Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Alberto Picco
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.44) 1.25 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.2% 27.5% 38.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 8.9% 11.1% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.4% 13.0% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.1% 7.6% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.4% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpeziaBari
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack78%78%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spezia Bari
HATHAT
Played65115510
Wins0%20%9%60%0%30%
Draws33%40%36%40%20%30%
Loses67%40%55%0%80%40%

Form: Spezia: LDDLLDLLWDL • Bari: LDLLDDWLWW

League goals

Metric Spezia Bari
HATHAT
GF total46106410
GF avg0.71.20.91.20.81.0
GA total1051531215
GA avg1.71.01.40.62.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpeziaBari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%80%80%
1.59%45%20%50%
2.59%9%0%20%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpeziaBari
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score224022

Penalties

MetricSpeziaBari
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSpeziaBari
Wins11
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-42-1—
Biggest losses1-32-0—3-0
Goals For1422
Goals Against3213

Model comparison

MetricSpeziaBari
Form29%71%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bari

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away5.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spezia = 1.17 (league 1.44), Bari = 1.25 (league 1.09)

Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 8.9% 11.1% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.4% 13.0% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.1% 7.6% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.4% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.2% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 38.0%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1