Serie B — Italy
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Carlo Castellani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.43) 1.34 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.1% 27.4% 43.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Catanzaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 9.2% 12.3% 8.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.6% 12.9% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.0% 6.7% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmpoliCatanzaro
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack63%88%
Defense25%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Empoli Catanzaro
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins17%20%18%33%20%27%
Draws83%0%45%50%60%55%
Loses0%80%36%17%20%18%

Form: Empoli: WLDLDDWDLDL • Catanzaro: DDDDDDLLWWW

League goals

Metric Empoli Catanzaro
HATHAT
GF total94137613
GF avg1.50.81.21.21.21.2
GA total711186511
GA avg1.22.21.61.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmpoliCatanzaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%100%73%73%
1.527%36%36%27%
2.59%18%9%0%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmpoliCatanzaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets000123
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricEmpoliCatanzaro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEmpoliCatanzaro
Wins10
Draws26
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-11-3
Biggest losses—4-00-12-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricEmpoliCatanzaro
Form36%64%
Att42%58%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h100%0%
Goals80%20%
Total49.4%50.6%

Advice: Double chance : Empoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Unibet
No1.97 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Empoli = 1.05 (league 1.43), Catanzaro = 1.34 (league 1.07)

Catanzaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 9.2% 12.3% 8.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.6% 12.9% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.0% 6.7% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 43.2%

vtt 2 , vtd1