Serie B — Italy
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Benito Stirpe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.44) 0.88 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.5% 32.9% 32.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.6%
1 - 0
15.2%
0 - 1
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 16.6% 14.6% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFrosinoneModena
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack88%100%
Defense38%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Frosinone Modena
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%50%55%83%40%64%
Draws20%33%27%17%40%27%
Loses20%17%18%0%20%9%

Form: Frosinone: WDWDWWLLDWW • Modena: WDWWWDWDWLW

League goals

Metric Frosinone Modena
HATHAT
GF total1192013619
GF avg2.21.51.82.21.21.7
GA total459336
GA avg0.80.80.80.50.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFrosinoneModena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%55%82%55%
1.555%18%64%0%
2.527%9%27%0%
3.518%0%0%0%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFrosinoneModena
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricFrosinoneModena
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricFrosinoneModena
Wins23
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-53-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-0—1-0
Goals For4533
Goals Against2311

Model comparison

MetricFrosinoneModena
Form41%59%
Att47%53%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h80%20%
Goals63%38%
Total53.2%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Frosinone or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.15 @ 10Bet
Away2.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Frosinone = 0.92 (league 1.44), Modena = 0.88 (league 1.09)

Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 16.6% 14.6% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.5% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 32.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1