Serie B — Italy
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Danilo Martelli
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.44) 1.93 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.5% 21.4% 61.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
11.8%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 6.3% 12.2% 11.8% 7.6% 3.6% 1.4%
1 5.3% 10.2% 9.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.2%
2 2.2% 4.2% 4.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMantovaPadova
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack38%75%
Defense38%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mantova Padova
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins20%17%18%20%33%27%
Draws20%17%18%60%33%45%
Loses60%67%64%20%33%27%

Form: Mantova: LWLLLLDDLLW • Padova: LDLWWDLWDDD

League goals

Metric Mantova Padova
HATHAT
GF total6287512
GF avg1.20.30.71.40.81.1
GA total135187613
GA avg2.60.81.61.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMantovaPadova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%82%73%
1.59%36%27%36%
2.50%27%0%9%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMantovaPadova
HATHAT
Clean sheets022033
Failed to score044112

Penalties

MetricMantovaPadova
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMantovaPadova
Wins12
Draws21
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-10-1
Biggest losses1-52-10-13-1
Goals For2121
Goals Against5223

Model comparison

MetricMantovaPadova
Form45%55%
Att33%67%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h38%62%
Goals57%43%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Padova

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ 10Bet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Unibet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mantova = 0.83 (league 1.44), Padova = 1.93 (league 1.08)

Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 6.3% 12.2% 11.8% 7.6% 3.6% 1.4%
1 5.3% 10.2% 9.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.2%
2 2.2% 4.2% 4.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 61.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1