Serie B — Italy
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Dino Manuzzi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.45) 1.56 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 23.5% 36.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Avellino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 4.2% 6.5% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.7% 10.5% 8.2% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.5% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.9% 4.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCesenaAvellino
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack50%42%
Defense58%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cesena Avellino
HATHAT
Played47115611
Wins25%71%55%60%17%36%
Draws50%0%18%20%50%36%
Loses25%29%27%20%33%27%

Form: Cesena: WDWWDLLWWWL • Avellino: LDWWWDDLLDW

League goals

Metric Cesena Avellino
HATHAT
GF total511168816
GF avg1.31.61.51.61.31.5
GA total581381119
GA avg1.31.11.21.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCesenaAvellino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%91%64%82%
1.545%18%45%55%
2.59%9%18%27%
3.50%0%18%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCesenaAvellino
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricCesenaAvellino
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCesenaAvellino
Wins33
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-03-4
Biggest losses1-23-10-42-0
Goals For2344
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricCesenaAvellino
Form64%36%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Cesena or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away5.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cesena = 1.61 (league 1.45), Avellino = 1.56 (league 1.08)

Avellino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 4.2% 6.5% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.7% 10.5% 8.2% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.5% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.9% 4.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 36.6%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1