Serie B — Italy
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Danilo Martelli
Match Finished
4 - 1
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.45) 2.44 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.8% 16.4% 69.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.3%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 3.8% 9.3% 11.3% 9.2% 5.6% 2.7%
1 3.2% 7.7% 9.4% 7.6% 4.6% 2.3%
2 1.3% 3.2% 3.9% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMantovaSpezia
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack33%58%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mantova Spezia
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins33%17%25%0%20%8%
Draws17%17%17%43%40%42%
Loses50%67%58%57%40%50%

Form: Mantova: LWLLLLDDLLWW • Spezia: LDDLLDLLWDLD

League goals

Metric Mantova Spezia
HATHAT
GF total7295611
GF avg1.20.30.80.71.20.9
GA total1351811516
GA avg2.20.81.51.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMantovaSpezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%75%67%83%
1.58%33%8%42%
2.50%25%8%8%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMantovaSpezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score044224

Penalties

MetricMantovaSpezia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMantovaSpezia
Wins11
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1—0-4
Biggest losses1-52-11-32-0
Goals For2114
Goals Against5232

Model comparison

MetricMantovaSpezia
Form58%42%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Spezia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ 10Bet
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away3.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.78 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mantova = 0.83 (league 1.45), Spezia = 2.44 (league 1.08)

Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 3.8% 9.3% 11.3% 9.2% 5.6% 2.7%
1 3.2% 7.7% 9.4% 7.6% 4.6% 2.3%
2 1.3% 3.2% 3.9% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.8% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 69.0%

Vtot 15 , Vtod1