Serie B — Italy
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:15 • Brianteo
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.44) 0.74 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 33.3% 26.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.7%
1 - 0
17.5%
0 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 17.7% 13.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.7% 6.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonzaCesena
Played55
Form100%80%
Attack83%67%
Defense92%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monza Cesena
HATHAT
Played66125712
Wins83%50%67%40%71%58%
Draws0%33%17%40%0%17%
Loses17%17%17%20%29%25%

Form: Monza: WDLWLDWWWWWW • Cesena: WDWWDLLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Monza Cesena
HATHAT
GF total891781119
GF avg1.31.51.41.61.61.6
GA total3475813
GA avg0.50.70.61.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonzaCesena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%50%92%83%
1.533%8%50%17%
2.517%0%17%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonzaCesena
HATHAT
Clean sheets336112
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricMonzaCesena
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricMonzaCesena
Wins13
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-12-11-23-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricMonzaCesena
Form56%44%
Att56%44%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.8%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Monza or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away5.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monza = 0.99 (league 1.44), Cesena = 0.74 (league 1.08)

Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 17.7% 13.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.7% 6.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 26.5%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1