Serie B — Italy
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio San Nicola
Match Finished
2 - 3
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.44) 0.82 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.0% 36.8% 36.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.7%
0 - 1
18.6%
1 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Frosinone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 22.7% 18.6% 7.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 12.3% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBariFrosinone
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack38%56%
Defense69%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bari Frosinone
HATHAT
Played56116612
Wins60%0%27%50%50%50%
Draws40%33%36%33%33%33%
Loses0%67%36%17%17%17%

Form: Bari: LDLLDDWLWWD • Frosinone: WDWDWWLLDWWD

League goals

Metric Bari Frosinone
HATHAT
GF total651113922
GF avg1.20.81.02.21.51.8
GA total313166511
GA avg0.62.21.51.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBariFrosinone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%75%58%
1.518%45%58%25%
2.50%18%25%8%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBariFrosinone
HATHAT
Clean sheets202235
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricBariFrosinone
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBariFrosinone
Wins22
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-01-5
Biggest losses—3-00-13-0
Goals For2245
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricBariFrosinone
Form56%44%
Att40%60%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Bari or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.23 @ Pinnacle
Away2.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Unibet
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bari = 0.66 (league 1.44), Frosinone = 0.82 (league 1.10)

Frosinone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 22.7% 18.6% 7.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 12.3% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.0% · Draw 36.8% · Away win 36.1%

vtt 7 , vtd1