Serie B — Italy
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Carlo Castellani
Match Finished
5 - 0
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.45) 0.74 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.3% 18.9% 11.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 5.7% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.1% 9.0% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 6.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmpoliBari
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack75%75%
Defense50%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Empoli Bari
HATHAT
Played76136612
Wins29%33%31%50%0%25%
Draws71%0%38%33%33%33%
Loses0%67%31%17%67%42%

Form: Empoli: WLDLDDWDLDLWW • Bari: LDLLDDWLWWDL

League goals

Metric Empoli Bari
HATHAT
GF total107178513
GF avg1.41.21.31.30.81.1
GA total7111861319
GA avg1.01.81.41.02.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmpoliBari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%83%83%
1.531%31%25%50%
2.515%15%0%25%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmpoliBari
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricEmpoliBari
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricEmpoliBari
Wins12
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-1—
Biggest losses—4-02-33-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricEmpoliBari
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h100%0%
Goals78%22%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Empoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 10Bet
Away4.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Empoli = 2.12 (league 1.45), Bari = 0.74 (league 1.08)

Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 5.7% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.1% 9.0% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 6.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.3% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 11.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1