Serie B — Italy
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 16:15 • Stadio Alberto Picco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.44) 1.19 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.8% 29.3% 40.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 11.6% 13.7% 8.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.4% 6.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpeziaSampdoria
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack47%27%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spezia Sampdoria
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins0%17%8%29%0%15%
Draws43%33%38%29%33%31%
Loses57%50%54%43%67%54%

Form: Spezia: LDDLLDLLWDLDL • Sampdoria: LLLLDDWLDDLLW

League goals

Metric Spezia Sampdoria
HATHAT
GF total57127512
GF avg0.71.20.91.00.80.9
GA total1192071219
GA avg1.61.51.51.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpeziaSampdoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%69%85%
1.58%46%8%38%
2.58%15%8%23%
3.58%8%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpeziaSampdoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score224314

Penalties

MetricSpeziaSampdoria
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSpeziaSampdoria
Wins11
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-44-1—
Biggest losses1-34-10-23-1
Goals For1441
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricSpeziaSampdoria
Form50%50%
Att64%36%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Spezia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spezia = 0.97 (league 1.44), Sampdoria = 1.19 (league 1.08)

Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 11.6% 13.7% 8.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.4% 6.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 40.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1