Serie B — Italy
Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Dino Manuzzi
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.44) 1.19 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.4% 29.7% 42.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 12.5% 14.9% 8.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCesenaModena
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack50%58%
Defense75%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cesena Modena
HATHAT
Played58137613
Wins40%63%54%71%33%54%
Draws40%0%15%29%50%38%
Loses20%38%31%0%17%8%

Form: Cesena: WDWWDLLWWWLWL • Modena: WDWWWDWDWLWDD

League goals

Metric Cesena Modena
HATHAT
GF total8111913821
GF avg1.61.41.51.91.31.6
GA total5914358
GA avg1.01.11.10.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCesenaModena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%77%54%
1.546%15%62%8%
2.515%8%23%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCesenaModena
HATHAT
Clean sheets112426
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricCesenaModena
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricCesenaModena
Wins33
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-01-3
Biggest losses1-23-1—1-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricCesenaModena
Form53%47%
Att46%54%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Modena

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Unibet
Away2.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cesena = 0.89 (league 1.44), Modena = 1.19 (league 1.09)

Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 12.5% 14.9% 8.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 42.8%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1