Serie B — Italy
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Druso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.45) 1.32 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.6% 23.1% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Avellino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sudtirol 0 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 8.0% 10.5% 6.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.3% 5.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSudtirolAvellino
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack25%63%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.214 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sudtirol Avellino
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins33%0%15%50%14%31%
Draws17%86%54%17%43%31%
Loses50%14%31%33%43%38%

Form: Sudtirol: DWLDWDLDLLDDD • Avellino: LDWWWDDLLDWLL

League goals

Metric Sudtirol Avellino
HATHAT
GF total86148816
GF avg1.30.91.11.31.11.2
GA total8917111425
GA avg1.31.31.31.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSudtirolAvellino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%92%54%85%
1.523%31%38%62%
2.515%8%15%38%
3.50%0%15%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSudtirolAvellino
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score224336

Penalties

MetricSudtirolAvellino
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSudtirolAvellino
Wins13
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-03-4
Biggest losses0-23-00-43-0
Goals For3244
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricSudtirolAvellino
Form43%57%
Att29%71%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Avellino

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 188Bet
Draw3.30 @ Betano
Away4.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sudtirol = 1.79 (league 1.45), Avellino = 1.32 (league 1.08)

Avellino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sudtirol 0 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 8.0% 10.5% 6.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.3% 5.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.6% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 28.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1