Serie B — Italy
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Renzo Barbera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.43) 0.97 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.0% 28.4% 28.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 10.6% 10.3% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.1% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalermoCarrarese
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack75%63%
Defense25%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palermo Carrarese
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins43%33%38%29%17%23%
Draws43%33%38%43%67%54%
Loses14%33%23%29%17%23%

Form: Palermo: WDWWDDWDLLWLD • Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDD

League goals

Metric Palermo Carrarese
HATHAT
GF total106169918
GF avg1.41.01.21.31.51.4
GA total55108816
GA avg0.70.80.81.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalermoCarrarese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%62%69%62%
1.538%8%46%46%
2.58%8%23%8%
3.58%0%0%8%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalermoCarrarese
HATHAT
Clean sheets415415
Failed to score325404

Penalties

MetricPalermoCarrarese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricPalermoCarrarese
Wins21
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-31-00-22-1
Goals For5232
Goals Against3142

Model comparison

MetricPalermoCarrarese
Form44%56%
Att55%45%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Carrarese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 10Bet
Draw3.75 @ 10Bet
Away5.99 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.03 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Palermo = 1.27 (league 1.43), Carrarese = 0.97 (league 1.08)

Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 10.6% 10.3% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.1% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.0% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 28.4%

vtt 3 , vtd1