Serie B — Italy
Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Danilo Martelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.44) 2.01 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 20.3% 36.3%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
2 - 1
7.3%
1 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Reggiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 1.6% 3.3% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
1 3.4% 6.9% 6.9% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
2 3.6% 7.3% 7.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.5% 5.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
4 1.3% 2.7% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMantovaReggiana
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack50%29%
Defense50%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mantova Reggiana
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%14%29%43%14%29%
Draws14%14%14%43%29%36%
Loses43%71%57%14%57%36%

Form: Mantova: LWLLLLDDLLWWWL • Reggiana: LWDDLDWWLWLDDL

League goals

Metric Mantova Reggiana
HATHAT
GF total1121310818
GF avg1.60.30.91.41.11.3
GA total1482261319
GA avg2.01.11.60.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMantovaReggiana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%79%71%71%
1.514%36%36%36%
2.57%29%21%21%
3.57%7%0%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMantovaReggiana
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score055224

Penalties

MetricMantovaReggiana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMantovaReggiana
Wins32
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-13-11-2
Biggest losses1-53-00-13-1
Goals For4133
Goals Against5324

Model comparison

MetricMantovaReggiana
Form64%36%
Att64%36%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : Mantova or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mantova = 2.11 (league 1.44), Reggiana = 2.01 (league 1.09)

Reggiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 1.6% 3.3% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
1 3.4% 6.9% 6.9% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
2 3.6% 7.3% 7.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.5% 5.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
4 1.3% 2.7% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 36.3%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1