Serie B — Italy
Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 11:30 • Stadio Alberto Braglia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.43) 0.37 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.9% 28.5% 10.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.3%
0 - 0
18.3%
2 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Catanzaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 18.3% 6.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.3% 9.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricModenaCatanzaro
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack36%79%
Defense71%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Modena Catanzaro
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins71%29%50%38%17%29%
Draws29%43%36%50%50%50%
Loses0%29%14%13%33%21%

Form: Modena: WDWWWDWDWLWDDL • Catanzaro: DDDDDDLLWWWLDW

League goals

Metric Modena Catanzaro
HATHAT
GF total1382113619
GF avg1.91.11.51.61.01.4
GA total36911617
GA avg0.40.90.61.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineModenaCatanzaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%71%79%
1.557%7%43%36%
2.521%0%21%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricModenaCatanzaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets426123
Failed to score134134

Penalties

MetricModenaCatanzaro
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total60

Streaks

MetricModenaCatanzaro
Wins33
Draws26
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-21-3
Biggest losses—1-00-12-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricModenaCatanzaro
Form33%67%
Att31%69%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Modena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 188Bet
Draw4.00 @ Pinnacle
Away6.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Modena = 1.33 (league 1.43), Catanzaro = 0.37 (league 1.07)

Catanzaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 18.3% 6.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.3% 9.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 10.3%

vtt 11 , vtd1