Serie B — Italy
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.43) 1.21 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.2% 26.7% 33.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.5%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sampdoria 0 7.9% 9.6% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.5% 12.7% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSampdoriaCarrarese
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack20%13%
Defense60%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sampdoria Carrarese
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%0%14%29%14%21%
Draws29%29%29%43%57%50%
Loses43%71%57%29%29%29%

Form: Sampdoria: LLLLDDWLDDLLWL • Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDL

League goals

Metric Sampdoria Carrarese
HATHAT
GF total75129918
GF avg1.00.70.91.31.31.3
GA total7132081321
GA avg1.01.91.41.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSampdoriaCarrarese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%86%64%64%
1.57%36%43%50%
2.57%21%21%14%
3.57%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSampdoriaCarrarese
HATHAT
Clean sheets202415
Failed to score325415

Penalties

MetricSampdoriaCarrarese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricSampdoriaCarrarese
Wins11
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—3-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-10-25-0
Goals For4132
Goals Against2345

Model comparison

MetricSampdoriaCarrarese
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total49.0%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : Sampdoria or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away3.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sampdoria = 1.33 (league 1.43), Carrarese = 1.21 (league 1.07)

Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sampdoria 0 7.9% 9.6% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.5% 12.7% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.2% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 33.7%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1