Serie B — Italy
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 16:15 • Stadio Carlo Castellani
Match Finished
1 - 3
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.44) 0.82 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 31.7% 27.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 15.3% 12.6% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.5% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmpoliPalermo
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack67%73%
Defense87%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Empoli Palermo
HATHAT
Played86148614
Wins38%33%36%50%33%43%
Draws63%0%36%38%33%36%
Loses0%67%29%13%33%21%

Form: Empoli: WLDLDDWDLDLWWW • Palermo: WDWWDDWDLLWLDW

League goals

Metric Empoli Palermo
HATHAT
GF total1572215621
GF avg1.91.21.61.91.01.5
GA total711185510
GA avg0.91.81.30.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmpoliPalermo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%79%64%57%
1.536%29%43%7%
2.521%14%14%7%
3.57%7%14%0%
4.57%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmpoliPalermo
HATHAT
Clean sheets213516
Failed to score022325

Penalties

MetricEmpoliPalermo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricEmpoliPalermo
Wins12
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-35-00-2
Biggest losses—4-00-31-0
Goals For5352
Goals Against2431

Model comparison

MetricEmpoliPalermo
Form59%41%
Att48%52%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h62%38%
Goals64%36%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Double chance : Empoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away2.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Empoli = 1.05 (league 1.44), Palermo = 0.82 (league 1.09)

Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 15.3% 12.6% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.5% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 27.9%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1