Serie B — Italy
Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Euganeo
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.43) 1.95 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.1% 21.4% 59.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.1%
0 - 2
10.8%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 5.7% 11.1% 10.8% 7.0% 3.4% 1.3%
1 5.2% 10.2% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.4% 4.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPadovaCesena
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack21%43%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Padova Cesena
HATHAT
Played68146814
Wins17%38%29%50%63%57%
Draws50%25%36%33%0%14%
Loses33%38%36%17%38%29%

Form: Padova: LDLWWDLWDDDLLW • Cesena: WDWWDLLWWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Padova Cesena
HATHAT
GF total761391120
GF avg1.20.80.91.51.41.4
GA total97165914
GA avg1.50.91.10.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePadovaCesena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%86%79%
1.521%36%43%14%
2.50%7%14%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPadovaCesena
HATHAT
Clean sheets044213
Failed to score224022

Penalties

MetricPadovaCesena
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricPadovaCesena
Wins23
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-23-1
Goals For2133
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricPadovaCesena
Form36%64%
Att33%67%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total42.7%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cesena

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Padova = 0.92 (league 1.43), Cesena = 1.95 (league 1.08)

Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 5.7% 11.1% 10.8% 7.0% 3.4% 1.3%
1 5.2% 10.2% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.4% 4.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 59.9%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1