Serie B — Italy
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio dei Marmi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.43) 0.61 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.3% 21.7% 11.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
2 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus Entella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 8.8% 5.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.0% 9.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 8.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarrareseVirtus Entella
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack27%36%
Defense0%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrarese Virtus Entella
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%13%20%38%0%20%
Draws43%50%47%50%29%40%
Loses29%38%33%13%71%40%

Form: Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDLL • Virtus Entella: DDWLLDLWDLWDDLL

League goals

Metric Carrarese Virtus Entella
HATHAT
GF total9112010414
GF avg1.31.41.31.30.60.9
GA total8162471421
GA avg1.12.01.60.92.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarrareseVirtus Entella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%80%
1.547%53%20%40%
2.520%20%7%13%
3.50%13%0%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarrareseVirtus Entella
HATHAT
Clean sheets415213
Failed to score415145

Penalties

MetricCarrareseVirtus Entella
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricCarrareseVirtus Entella
Wins11
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-1—
Biggest losses0-25-00-14-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against4524

Model comparison

MetricCarrareseVirtus Entella
Form29%71%
Att43%57%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : Carrarese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ 188Bet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carrarese = 1.81 (league 1.43), Virtus Entella = 0.61 (league 1.08)

Virtus Entella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 8.8% 5.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.0% 9.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 8.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.3% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 11.9%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1