Serie B — Italy
Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Renzo Barbera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.44) 0.38 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.4% 12.3% 4.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.4%
3 - 0
14.6%
1 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 5.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.9% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.4% 6.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.1% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalermoSampdoria
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack100%50%
Defense70%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palermo Sampdoria
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins50%43%47%38%0%20%
Draws38%29%33%25%29%27%
Loses13%29%20%38%71%53%

Form: Palermo: WDWWDDWDLLWLDWW • Sampdoria: LLLLDDWLDDLLWLW

League goals

Metric Palermo Sampdoria
HATHAT
GF total1592410515
GF avg1.91.31.61.30.71.0
GA total561191322
GA avg0.60.90.71.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalermoSampdoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%60%67%87%
1.547%7%13%40%
2.520%7%13%20%
3.513%0%7%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalermoSampdoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets516202
Failed to score325325

Penalties

MetricPalermoSampdoria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPalermoSampdoria
Wins21
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-34-1—
Biggest losses0-31-00-23-1
Goals For5341
Goals Against3123

Model comparison

MetricPalermoSampdoria
Form63%38%
Att74%26%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total66.2%34.0%

Advice: Winner : Palermo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ 188Bet
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Palermo = 2.51 (league 1.44), Sampdoria = 0.38 (league 1.09)

Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 5.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.9% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.4% 6.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.1% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.4% · Draw 12.3% · Away win 4.0%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1