Serie B — Italy
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:15 • Stadio Danilo Martelli
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.44) 1.74 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.0% 21.9% 36.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 2.8% 4.8% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.1% 8.9% 7.7% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.9% 5.1% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMantovaEmpoli
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack50%71%
Defense43%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mantova Empoli
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins38%13%25%33%29%31%
Draws13%13%13%56%0%31%
Loses50%75%63%11%71%38%

Form: Mantova: LWLLLLDDLLWWWLLL • Empoli: WLDLDDWDLDLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Mantova Empoli
HATHAT
GF total1141516723
GF avg1.40.50.91.81.01.4
GA total151126101323
GA avg1.91.41.61.11.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMantovaEmpoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%81%81%81%
1.519%38%31%38%
2.56%31%19%19%
3.56%6%6%6%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMantovaEmpoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score156033

Penalties

MetricMantovaEmpoli
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricMantovaEmpoli
Wins33
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-15-00-3
Biggest losses1-53-01-34-0
Goals For4253
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricMantovaEmpoli
Form40%60%
Att41%59%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.3%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Empoli

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ 10Bet
Away2.97 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ SBO
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mantova = 1.85 (league 1.44), Empoli = 1.74 (league 1.09)

Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 2.8% 4.8% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.1% 8.9% 7.7% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.9% 5.1% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.0% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1