Serie B — Italy
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Benito Stirpe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.44) 0.91 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.4% 20.2% 15.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.9%
1 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 5.1% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.5% 9.5% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.6% 6.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFrosinoneSpezia
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack69%25%
Defense69%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Frosinone Spezia
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins57%67%63%11%29%19%
Draws29%22%25%33%29%31%
Loses14%11%13%56%43%50%

Form: Frosinone: WDWDWWLLDWWDWWWW • Spezia: LDDLLDLLWDLDLWWL

League goals

Metric Frosinone Spezia
HATHAT
GF total1615316814
GF avg2.31.71.90.71.10.9
GA total681413922
GA avg0.90.90.91.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFrosinoneSpezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%56%69%75%
1.563%25%6%44%
2.531%6%6%13%
3.513%0%6%6%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFrosinoneSpezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets347224
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricFrosinoneSpezia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFrosinoneSpezia
Wins22
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-51-00-4
Biggest losses0-13-01-34-1
Goals For4514
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricFrosinoneSpezia
Form65%35%
Att73%27%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Winner : Frosinone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.07 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Unibet
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Frosinone = 2.08 (league 1.44), Spezia = 0.91 (league 1.09)

Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 5.1% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.5% 9.5% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.6% 6.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.4% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 15.4%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1