Serie B — Italy
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Alberto Braglia
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.43) 0.61 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.4% 27.8% 16.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
13.6%
2 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Venezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 13.6% 8.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 11.5% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 8.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricModenaVenezia
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack31%69%
Defense69%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Modena Venezia
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%38%50%88%13%50%
Draws25%38%31%0%63%31%
Loses13%25%19%13%25%19%

Form: Modena: WDWWWDWDWLWDDLLW • Venezia: WDDLWDWDLWLWWWDW

League goals

Metric Modena Venezia
HATHAT
GF total14102419928
GF avg1.81.31.52.41.11.8
GA total56114913
GA avg0.60.80.70.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineModenaVenezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%56%88%50%
1.556%13%63%25%
2.519%0%25%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricModenaVenezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets437538
Failed to score134022

Penalties

MetricModenaVenezia
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricModenaVenezia
Wins33
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-21-01-23-2
Goals For3332
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricModenaVenezia
Form28%72%
Att31%69%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h15%85%
Goals28%72%
Total33.0%67.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Venezia

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away3.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Modena = 1.38 (league 1.43), Venezia = 0.61 (league 1.08)

Venezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 13.6% 8.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 11.5% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 8.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 16.5%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1