Serie B — Italy
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Euganeo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.44) 0.77 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 27.8% 20.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 11.7% 9.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.1% 12.4% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.1% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPadovaSampdoria
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack25%31%
Defense69%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Padova Sampdoria
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins14%44%31%38%0%19%
Draws57%22%38%25%25%25%
Loses29%33%31%38%75%56%

Form: Padova: LDLWWDLWDDDLLWDW • Sampdoria: LLLLDDWLDDLLWLWL

League goals

Metric Padova Sampdoria
HATHAT
GF total881610515
GF avg1.10.91.01.30.60.9
GA total1081891423
GA avg1.40.91.11.11.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePadovaSampdoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%63%88%
1.525%31%13%38%
2.50%6%13%19%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPadovaSampdoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets044202
Failed to score224336

Penalties

MetricPadovaSampdoria
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricPadovaSampdoria
Wins21
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-24-1—
Biggest losses0-23-10-23-1
Goals For2241
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricPadovaSampdoria
Form54%46%
Att44%56%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Padova or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.55 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Padova = 1.37 (league 1.44), Sampdoria = 0.77 (league 1.09)

Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 11.7% 9.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.1% 12.4% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.1% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 20.9%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1