Serie B — Italy
Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio dei Marmi
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.44) 0.50 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.5% 26.5% 12.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
14.9%
0 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Mantova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 14.1% 7.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 10.3% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 7.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarrareseMantova
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack50%50%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrarese Mantova
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%11%24%33%13%24%
Draws38%44%41%11%13%12%
Loses25%44%35%56%75%65%

Form: Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDLLWL • Mantova: LWLLLLDDLLWWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Carrarese Mantova
HATHAT
GF total12122411415
GF avg1.51.31.41.20.50.9
GA total92029161127
GA avg1.12.21.71.81.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarrareseMantova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%59%82%
1.547%53%18%35%
2.524%24%6%29%
3.50%18%6%6%
4.50%6%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarrareseMantova
HATHAT
Clean sheets415123
Failed to score415257

Penalties

MetricCarrareseMantova
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricCarrareseMantova
Wins13
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-10-1
Biggest losses0-25-01-53-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against4553

Model comparison

MetricCarrareseMantova
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mantova

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Betano
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away3.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carrarese = 1.46 (league 1.44), Mantova = 0.50 (league 1.09)

Mantova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 14.1% 7.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 10.3% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 7.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.5% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 12.7%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1