Serie B — Italy
Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio San Nicola
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.44) 1.01 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.0% 25.6% 24.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Avellino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 7.9% 7.9% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.2% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.3% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.7% 4.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBariAvellino
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack17%33%
Defense33%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bari Avellino
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins38%0%18%38%22%29%
Draws38%44%41%38%33%35%
Loses25%56%41%25%44%35%

Form: Bari: LDLLDDWLWWDLLDDDL • Avellino: LDWWWDDLLDWLLWDLD

League goals

Metric Bari Avellino
HATHAT
GF total1051511920
GF avg1.30.60.91.41.01.2
GA total91827141529
GA avg1.12.01.61.81.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBariAvellino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%76%59%82%
1.518%47%35%53%
2.50%24%12%29%
3.50%6%12%6%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBariAvellino
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score055347

Penalties

MetricBariAvellino
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBariAvellino
Wins23
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-03-4
Biggest losses2-35-00-43-0
Goals For2244
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricBariAvellino
Form38%63%
Att33%67%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total52.3%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bari or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Betfair
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bari = 1.53 (league 1.44), Avellino = 1.01 (league 1.09)

Avellino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 7.9% 7.9% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.2% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.3% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.7% 4.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.0% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 24.8%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1