Serie B — Italy
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 16:15 • Stadio Alberto Braglia
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.44) 1.03 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 29.0% 31.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
13.0%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Monza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 11.0% 11.3% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.3% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.7% 7.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricModenaMonza
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack33%67%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Modena Monza
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins56%38%47%78%38%59%
Draws22%38%29%11%38%24%
Loses22%25%24%11%25%18%

Form: Modena: WDWWWDWDWLWDDLLWL • Monza: WDLWLDWWWWWWWDDLW

League goals

Metric Modena Monza
HATHAT
GF total151025141125
GF avg1.71.31.51.61.41.5
GA total76135813
GA avg0.80.80.80.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineModenaMonza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%59%88%59%
1.553%18%35%18%
2.518%0%18%0%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricModenaMonza
HATHAT
Clean sheets437437
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricModenaMonza
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total60

Streaks

MetricModenaMonza
Wins37
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-10-3
Biggest losses1-21-00-12-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricModenaMonza
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Monza

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Betano
Under 2.51.57 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Modena = 1.18 (league 1.44), Monza = 1.03 (league 1.09)

Monza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 11.0% 11.3% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.3% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.7% 7.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 31.6%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1