Serie B — Italy
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Danilo Martelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.43) 2.35 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.6% 17.3% 67.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.4%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 4.1% 9.7% 11.4% 8.9% 5.2% 2.5%
1 3.5% 8.1% 9.5% 7.5% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.5% 3.4% 4.0% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMantovaPalermo
Played55
Form7%87%
Attack15%92%
Defense38%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mantova Palermo
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins33%11%22%60%38%50%
Draws11%22%17%30%38%33%
Loses56%67%61%10%25%17%

Form: Mantova: LWLLLLDDLLWWWLLLLD • Palermo: WDWWDDWDLLWLDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Mantova Palermo
HATHAT
GF total11415171128
GF avg1.20.40.81.71.41.6
GA total1611275813
GA avg1.81.21.50.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMantovaPalermo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%72%56%
1.517%33%44%11%
2.56%28%17%6%
3.56%6%11%0%
4.50%6%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMantovaPalermo
HATHAT
Clean sheets134718
Failed to score268325

Penalties

MetricMantovaPalermo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricMantovaPalermo
Wins33
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-15-01-3
Biggest losses1-53-00-31-0
Goals For4253
Goals Against5332

Model comparison

MetricMantovaPalermo
Form7%93%
Att14%86%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total29.2%70.8%

Advice: Winner : Palermo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away2.05 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mantova = 0.84 (league 1.43), Palermo = 2.35 (league 1.07)

Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 4.1% 9.7% 11.4% 8.9% 5.2% 2.5%
1 3.5% 8.1% 9.5% 7.5% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.5% 3.4% 4.0% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 67.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1