Serie B — Italy
Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Euganeo
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.43) 0.45 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.6% 35.2% 16.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.5%
0 - 0
23.4%
2 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mantova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 23.4% 10.5% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 10.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.8% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPadovaMantova
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack46%23%
Defense69%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Padova Mantova
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins22%40%32%30%11%21%
Draws56%20%37%20%22%21%
Loses22%40%32%50%67%58%

Form: Padova: LDLWWDLWDDDLLWDWDLW • Mantova: LWLLLLDDLLWWWLLLLDD

League goals

Metric Padova Mantova
HATHAT
GF total1181912416
GF avg1.20.81.01.20.40.8
GA total11920171128
GA avg1.20.91.11.71.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePadovaMantova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%58%79%
1.526%26%16%32%
2.50%5%5%26%
3.50%0%5%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPadovaMantova
HATHAT
Clean sheets145134
Failed to score235268

Penalties

MetricPadovaMantova
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricPadovaMantova
Wins23
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-10-1
Biggest losses0-23-11-53-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricPadovaMantova
Form80%20%
Att67%33%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Padova or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Betfair
Away3.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Padova = 1.00 (league 1.43), Mantova = 0.45 (league 1.07)

Mantova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 23.4% 10.5% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 10.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.8% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 35.2% · Away win 16.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1