Serie B — Italy
Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 18:30 • Stadio Alberto Picco
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.43) 1.30 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.5% 28.3% 45.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.5%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Avellino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 11.1% 14.5% 9.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.9% 12.9% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.4% 5.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpeziaAvellino
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack50%75%
Defense0%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spezia Avellino
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins20%20%20%40%20%30%
Draws30%20%25%30%40%35%
Loses50%60%55%30%40%35%

Form: Spezia: LDDLLDLLWDLDLWWLLWLL • Avellino: LDWWWDDLLDWLLWDLDDWL

League goals

Metric Spezia Avellino
HATHAT
GF total81018141024
GF avg0.81.00.91.41.01.2
GA total141428171633
GA avg1.41.41.41.71.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpeziaAvellino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%65%85%
1.510%45%35%50%
2.55%10%10%25%
3.55%5%10%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpeziaAvellino
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score336347

Penalties

MetricSpeziaAvellino
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSpeziaAvellino
Wins23
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-42-03-4
Biggest losses1-34-10-43-0
Goals For2444
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricSpeziaAvellino
Form38%63%
Att40%60%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h60%40%
Goals70%30%
Total49.2%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Avellino

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Superbet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away4.25 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.78 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spezia = 0.89 (league 1.43), Avellino = 1.30 (league 1.07)

Avellino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 11.1% 14.5% 9.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.9% 12.9% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.4% 5.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 45.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1