Serie B — Italy
Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio dei Marmi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.42) 0.85 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.3% 28.7% 24.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 11.8% 10.1% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.1% 12.9% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.7% 8.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarrareseEmpoli
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack88%38%
Defense25%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrarese Empoli
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins40%20%30%27%44%35%
Draws40%40%40%55%0%30%
Loses20%40%30%18%56%35%

Form: Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDLLWLDWW • Empoli: WLDLDDWDLDLWWWLLWDWL

League goals

Metric Carrarese Empoli
HATHAT
GF total13142717926
GF avg1.31.41.41.51.01.3
GA total92130121325
GA avg0.92.11.51.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarrareseEmpoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%65%80%75%
1.545%45%25%30%
2.520%20%15%15%
3.50%15%5%5%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarrareseEmpoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets617235
Failed to score516134

Penalties

MetricCarrareseEmpoli
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricCarrareseEmpoli
Wins13
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-00-3
Biggest losses0-25-01-34-0
Goals For3253
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricCarrareseEmpoli
Form59%41%
Att70%30%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Carrarese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Pinnacle
Away3.25 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Unibet
No2.15 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carrarese = 1.28 (league 1.42), Empoli = 0.85 (league 1.05)

Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 11.8% 10.1% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.1% 12.9% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.7% 8.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.3% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 24.8%

vtt 15 , vtd2