Serie B — Italy
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 16:15 • Stadio Euganeo
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.49) 1.55 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.5% 25.6% 54.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Monza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 9.5% 14.7% 11.4% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.9% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.1% 4.8% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPadovaMonza
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack27%73%
Defense53%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Padova Monza
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins20%36%29%73%40%57%
Draws50%18%33%18%30%24%
Loses30%45%38%9%30%19%

Form: Padova: LDLWWDLWDDDLLWDWDLWLL • Monza: WDLWLDWWWWWWWDDLWWLDW

League goals

Metric Padova Monza
HATHAT
GF total12820191332
GF avg1.20.71.01.71.31.5
GA total13122571017
GA avg1.31.11.20.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePadovaMonza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%76%86%62%
1.524%33%43%19%
2.50%10%19%0%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPadovaMonza
HATHAT
Clean sheets145538
Failed to score246123

Penalties

MetricPadovaMonza
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricPadovaMonza
Wins27
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-10-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-12-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricPadovaMonza
Form29%71%
Att27%73%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total33.0%67.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Monza

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away1.84 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Padova = 0.81 (league 1.49), Monza = 1.55 (league 1.09)

Monza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 9.5% 14.7% 11.4% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.9% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.1% 4.8% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 54.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1