Serie B — Italy
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Alberto Braglia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.48) 0.44 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.8% 25.2% 10.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.3%
2 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 14.0% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.3% 9.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 7.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricModenaSampdoria
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack25%42%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Modena Sampdoria
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%36%41%45%0%23%
Draws27%36%32%27%36%32%
Loses27%27%27%27%64%45%

Form: Modena: WDWWWDWDWLWDDLLWLLLWDD • Sampdoria: LLLLDDWLDDLLWLWLDWLDDW

League goals

Metric Modena Sampdoria
HATHAT
GF total16122814721
GF avg1.51.11.31.30.61.0
GA total9817111728
GA avg0.80.70.81.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineModenaSampdoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%55%68%82%
1.545%23%14%32%
2.514%0%9%14%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricModenaSampdoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510314
Failed to score257347

Penalties

MetricModenaSampdoria
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricModenaSampdoria
Wins31
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-1—
Biggest losses1-22-00-23-1
Goals For3341
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricModenaSampdoria
Form38%62%
Att38%63%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total44.8%55.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sampdoria and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ William Hill
Away5.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Modena = 1.52 (league 1.48), Sampdoria = 0.44 (league 1.08)

Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 14.0% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.3% 9.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 7.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.8% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 10.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1