Serie B — Italy
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 18:30 • Stadio Alberto Picco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.43) 0.60 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 34.1% 21.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.1%
0 - 0
20.0%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus Entella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 20.0% 12.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 12.1% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.1% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpeziaVirtus Entella
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack33%25%
Defense58%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spezia Virtus Entella
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins27%18%23%36%0%18%
Draws27%18%23%55%27%41%
Loses45%64%55%9%73%41%

Form: Spezia: LDDLLDLLWDLDLWWLLWLLWL • Virtus Entella: DDWLLDLWDLWDDLLLDLWDLD

League goals

Metric Spezia Virtus Entella
HATHAT
GF total9101913619
GF avg0.80.90.91.20.50.9
GA total14152992029
GA avg1.31.41.30.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpeziaVirtus Entella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%77%68%82%
1.59%41%14%32%
2.55%9%5%14%
3.55%5%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpeziaVirtus Entella
HATHAT
Clean sheets325314
Failed to score347167

Penalties

MetricSpeziaVirtus Entella
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricSpeziaVirtus Entella
Wins21
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-43-1—
Biggest losses1-34-10-14-0
Goals For2432
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricSpeziaVirtus Entella
Form55%45%
Att57%43%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h85%15%
Goals80%20%
Total63.7%36.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Spezia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ William Hill
Away4.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spezia = 1.01 (league 1.43), Virtus Entella = 0.60 (league 1.08)

Virtus Entella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 20.0% 12.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 12.1% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.1% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 21.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1