Serie B — Italy
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio dei Marmi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.48) 0.59 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 32.2% 19.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 0
18.2%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 18.2% 10.7% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 12.0% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 6.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarrareseSudtirol
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack58%67%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrarese Sudtirol
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%18%32%45%9%27%
Draws36%36%36%18%73%45%
Loses18%45%32%36%18%27%

Form: Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDLLWLDWWWL • Sudtirol: DWLDWDLDLLDDDLDDDLWWWW

League goals

Metric Carrarese Sudtirol
HATHAT
GF total16153115924
GF avg1.51.41.41.40.81.1
GA total92332111223
GA avg0.82.11.51.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarrareseSudtirol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%68%82%
1.545%45%27%18%
2.523%18%14%5%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarrareseSudtirol
HATHAT
Clean sheets718224
Failed to score516437

Penalties

MetricCarrareseSudtirol
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricCarrareseSudtirol
Wins31
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-25-00-23-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricCarrareseSudtirol
Form45%55%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total56.5%43.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Carrarese or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Bet365
Draw3.00 @ William Hill
Away3.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ SBO
Under 2.51.72 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carrarese = 1.12 (league 1.48), Sudtirol = 0.59 (league 1.08)

Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 18.2% 10.7% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 12.0% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 6.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 19.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1